Classical Probability in the EnlightenmentPrinceton University Press, 1988 - Всего страниц: 423 What did it mean to be reasonable in the Age of Reason? Classical probabilists from Jakob Bernouli through Pierre Simon Laplace intended their theory as an answer to this question--as "nothing more at bottom than good sense reduced to a calculus," in Laplace's words. In terms that can be easily grasped by nonmathematicians, Lorraine Daston demonstrates how this view profoundly shaped the internal development of probability theory and defined its applications. |
Содержание
CHAPTER | 49 |
CHAPTER THREE | 112 |
Associationism and the Meaning of Probability | 188 |
CHAPTER FIVE | 226 |
CHAPTER | 296 |
EPILOGUE | 370 |
BIBLIOGRAPHY | 387 |
| 413 | |
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Académie des Sciences aleatory aleatory contracts annuities applications argument assumptions Bayes belief Bernoulli's theorem bility Boyle Buffon calculus of probabilities century certainty chapter classical probabilists classical probability theory computed Condorcet conjectandi d'Alembert Daniel Bernoulli Doctrine of Chances eighteenth eighteenth-century Encyclopédie equal equiprobable Equitable Essai evidence example experience gambling games of chance human Hume Hume's Huygens Huygens's individual induction inoculation inverse probabilities Jakob Bernoulli jurists l'Académie Laplace Laplace's large numbers law of large Leibniz London lottery mathe mathematical probability mathematical theory mathematicians matical memoir method mixed mathematics Moivre moral expectation moral sciences natural Nicholas Bernoulli observed Oeuvres Paris Pascal Petersburg problem phenomena philosophical physical players Poisson Port Royal Price prob proba probabilistic expectation probabilists probability of causes probability of judgments probability of testimony probability theory proof prudence psychological Quetelet rational reasonable risk sense seventeenth seventeenth-century social society statistics theory of probability tion treatise witness